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Abstract

System risk is one of the problems concerned by many stock market researchers. Many different indicators have been used: the average price index Passcher, Laspeyres or Fisher. These indicators reflect the average price of stocks or a basket of representative stocks in the m arket. The models predicting the prices of these indexes are the measure of market risk. Recently, especially after the major financial crises, the plunge of the stock market indexes has been s een. There are two issues here: Firstly, whether a market index fully reflects systemic r isk. Secondly, any state of market risk implicit breakdowns. Mark Kritzman et al., 2010 proposed index of Absorption Rate as a system risk measurement tool. Research results of the authors and some other studies show that: 1. The sharp decline of the US stock market against the soaring rate of absorption; 2. Stocks devalued significantly after the rate of absorption increased and then p lummeted; 3 . Absorption rate is a leading indicator of the US housing market bubble; 4. Increased absorption rate has a system of market turmoil; 5. The time of major financial crisis coincided with a large change of this rate; 6. Absorption rate contains a large proportion of information about structural models and complex calculations of financial s pread. This article introduces and tests the use of absorption rate to analyze the volatility of the Vietnam stock market. The analysis will focus on a number of periods with different market fluctuations. Experiment uses absorption rate index for a pricing model.


 



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Article Details

Issue: Vol 3 No 1 (2019)
Page No.: 13-27
Published: May 3, 2019
Section: Research article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.32508/stdjelm.v3i1.536

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Creative Commons License

Copyright: The Authors. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License CC-BY 4.0., which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

 How to Cite
Van Thu, N. (2019). Absorption rate as a system risk measurement tool: evidence from the Viet Nam stock market. Science & Technology Development Journal - Economics - Law and Management, 3(1), 13-27. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32508/stdjelm.v3i1.536

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